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Nightclub
investor FAQ
I'm
getting a larger volume of calls from investment sources once
again, as well as a number of emailed questions. The purpose
of this document is to provide a 'basic overview' of the social
entertainment investment.
Why
would I want to invest in a social entertainment venture?
Well
for one, the demand for 'quality' social entertainment product
could never be better. National divorce rates now at a record
52%, and separation on the rise. Combine this with many waiting
well into their late 20's /early 30's to marry, coupled with
an ageing demographic. The clear result is an overall singles
population that has mushroomed in both diversity and age,
thus more demand than ever for "quality" social
entertainment offerings.
Why
do most social entertainment ventures appear skewed to a younger
demographic then?
Largely
because that was their traditional focus and also because
many entertainment operators are slow to become aware of changes
in socionomic trends. It's also an enterprise many younger,
less experienced entrepreneurs pursue. Engrossed in the bliss
of idealism, they often fail to carry out the most rudimentary
market research. The result is product, which would not appeal
to much more than a young, narrow demographic.
The
few that 'have' acknowledged the radical shift in 21st century
consumer landscape enjoy fewer problems, extended loyalty,
good longevity, and unsurpassed profit margins. Put simply,
the social entertainment demographic has expanded well beyond
the likes of the 21 to 24 age group, as has been the case
for quite some time.
I
keep hearing about huge $$$$ in very short periods of time
-is this true?
The nightly entertainment venue is a high cash flow performer
as a result of high volume traffic, coupled with nominal per
person spending. Nominal as in $20 to $50 per person spending
on average, or more depending on the market place. Now multiply
that by 300, 1500, or 3000 in just over 3.5 hours. Couple
this with the fact you're selling liquor product at a 400%
markup or more, plus another $10,000 to $40,000 in cash door
charge, and you can see how profits add up rather quickly.
Operating costs are lower than most conventional businesses
so net profits can be sizable.
So
this is an easy money business?
Not
quite
However, this is what lures many less experienced
business people into a nightclub entertainment venture. A
common misconception is that as long as you can create a pretty
décor scheme, play music, and sell booze, you too can
become an overnight millionaire. So of course
Everyone
from the teenager, to mothers, brothers, sisters, and uncles
too figure they've finally found a way to catch up to the
corporate 6-digit income earner.
Rarely does this ever become a reality. Similar to the educated
high income earner, operating a social entertainment venue
requires considerable education as well. A quick million is
certainly possible, but limited to those who actually know
what they're doing.
Contrary
to the belief of many operators, even today, social entertainment
product has little to do with music, booze, and promos. It
has everything to do with "what experience"
you can provide the consumer on a "consistent"
and "ongoing basis." Lame gimmicks, freebies,
cheap booze, and a mishmash of promos worked wonders in the
80's -they DO NOT now, and if they do, you can expect
bottom of the shelf crowds who are happy to suck up your product,
while paying next to nothing.
Today's
entertainment consumer is substantially more educated, enlightened,
and not easily fooled by cheap gimmicks. They actually want
to be entertained. Contrary to predated belief, entertainment,
excitement and fun DOES NOT occur just because someone
decided to open a bar. As an entertainment operator, you actually
need to know how to entertain a room for several hours per
night.
Most
importantly, the broader scale demographic is single and more
than anything else, desire an environment "conducive
to meeting other people." Skilled and seasoned operators
'know how to create' a social environment, which stimulates
and heightens social interaction within a room. This component,
more than anything else is the driving force behind successful
and highly lucrative entertainment product.
I've
heard the failure rate is high, is this so?
There
is a fast emerging divide between those that understand the
need of the broader based entertainment consumer, and those
that continue to approach it with the hit and miss philosophy.
The above average failure rates in this industry are rarely
the result of a lack of market demand, but almost always the
result of a lack of 'market understanding'.
As
a result, 10 to 20% continue to make 80% of the money, while
the remaining majority do fair to marginally well.
What
is the typical capital requirement for a social entertainment
venue?
That
depends on a host of factors, such as the size of room you're
opening up, to the stature of clientele you're targeting.
A smaller 300-person capacity room can require as little as
100K, to as much as 400K, depending on what you want out of
it. Larger 500-person, to 1,500-person capacity or more venues
can require anywhere from $500,000, upwards to 4-million.
Mega clubs, usually found in Las Vegas, Miami, and other high
end markets can run as high 8 to 12-million in total.
How
much can these investments make?
This
is largely dependent on market size, demand, and type of clientele
you're catering to. The smaller to intermediate class nightclub
of say 300, to 500 people capacity can generate anywhere from
$50,000, upwards to $140,000 a month in total revenue. Your
larger 500, upwards to 1,500 person operation can take in
anywhere from $150,000, to $350,000 a month. Larger mega clubs
(1500 to 3000 people or more) can take in as much as $900,000
monthly or more.
What
are the operating costs associated with an entertainment venture?
That'd
be a very long list and highly dependent on a host of 'market
specific' variables. Generally, modest entertainment offerings
in smaller markets can maintain total expenses as low as 42%
and as high as 53%. Larger venues in larger cities can vary
even more. In some cases, as low as 54% to as high as 69%.
In some cases, the higher costs are associated with the cost
of doing business in a larger city, however in just as many
cases, is the direct result of mismanaging funds, overspending,
and internal losses due to the absence of proper inventory
systems and cash control procedures. This is a VERY high cash
flow business, so you need to keep sharp, stay on the ball,
and implement the appropriate monitoring systems.
How
fast in the principal note returned?
Strong
entertainment offerings will return the original note in as
little as 14-months and as much as 18. Due to the fluid nature
of the social entertainment arena, extending the window of
'initial return' much beyond 18-months increases the overall
risk substantially.
These
are not long-term investments. 2.5 to 4-years is the average
lifespan, but sometimes more in smaller markets due to less
competition and slower overall change in entertainment climate.
As a result, this is NOT a learn as you go business.
You get one bite of the apple. Drop the apple and you're not
getting a second chance -not in this business
If
I infuse funds into someone's entertainment investment, what
type of return should I expect?
Hmm
That's highly variable and largely reliant on the deal structured
between entrepreneur and investor. If it's a simple cash loan,
a 25 to 35% return is expected. Most
professional operators divert as much as 80% cash flow to
investors until the original note with the promised return
is paid. There are numerous types of deal structures that
are possible, but going into all of those here would take
us well beyond the scope of this document, and besides.. I'm
not a finance expert!
What
happens when the clock runs out in 2.5 to 4-years?
If
all has gone well, you've received a sizable return on your
investment. As for the club, several outcomes are likely:
-
Depending on the term of the lease, you re-concept the venue.
Most of the primary infrastructure is currently in
place so reinvest into a new look /feel and drive another
2 or 3 years out of it.
-
Pack up and open your next one
-
If it's purchased real estate, convert it into some other
use, such as office space.
Now,
some may perceive this as a 'fly by night' business, as in
here today, gone tomorrow. Again, entertainment ventures are
not long-term investments. Similar to movie releases, top40
hit singles, and most forms of entertainment, they're fast
burn investments and designed to yield a high return on the
dollar in a fraction of the time conventional investments
would.
if
I view a nightclub venture proposal, what should I be looking
for?
Possibly
the following:
-
You may not be at all familiar with an investment of this
nature, which may raise many questions as to what makes sense
and what does not.
-
Entrepreneurs often submit business proposals that are riddled
in contradictions, ambiguities, and so convoluted, even the
best MBA's would have a difficult time making sense of them.
Others present cookie-cutter presentations, which in many
cases is nothing more than a badly hacked version of a generic
retail based business plan with a few of the headings slightly
altered. Some poor souls will pay up to $3,000 for these hoaxes
in hopes of quickly procuring the confidence of a lending
source.
-
Incorrect financial projections. In short, most new startups
can take several years to establish leads, recognition, clientele,
and eventually profit. As a result, financial projections
usually increase over a 5-year period. Not so with nightclubs
Prime revenue spans across months 1 to 4 in most cases, before
descending somewhat and holding for the next 18 to 24-months.
The first 1 to 4-months are also termed the "honeymoon
period" and where a nightclub recoups a sizable portion
of the investment.
As
a result, projecting prime or elevated earnings in year 3
or 5 is rather silly, as most nightclubs have well past their
prime at this point, thus very unlikely they're going to match
or exceed the financial performance of the first 4-months.
In this business, you either launch with award-winning success
on grand opening, or you may very well end up with a while
elephant on your hands -it's not a business you grow a little
bit each month.
Suffice
it to say, nightclub entertainment proposals can be exceptionally
difficult to understand or make sense of at times.
So
what should investors be looking for in a nightclub entertainment
investment?
In
short, an experience driven product. Don't confuse this with
million dollar décor schemes, state of the art light
shows, and overpaid DJ's or promoters. Despite the high industry
failure rate, many predated thinkers continue to approach
the social entertainment equation with the "I'll gimmick
the living hell out of people and then they'll spend like
crazy" mentality. Won't work.. Has not worked in over
12-years
High
cash flow Nightclub entertainment is about carefully and brilliantly
thought out concepts that actually "accommodate"
the fundamental reasons why people would patronize a social
entertainment venue in the first place. It's about providing
an experience -not overwhelming people with a barrage of hype,
eye candy, and infantile marketing tactics. Again.. Those
days are done.
Today's
entertainment consumer BUYS EXPERIENCE -they're no
longer fooled by operational approaches that in an increasing
number of cases, are almost intellectually insulting to a
demographic that actually understands the difference between
a real experience and utter crap.
Note:
We're talking about a "dedicated entertainment venue"
here, not a bar/restaurants which is a completely different
animal. If you find yourself stuck with attempting to make
sense of a nightclub summary or business plan, consider
speaking to me for help in bringing clarity to it.
Dave
Hollingworth
http://nightclubbiz.com/
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